Going into 2025 With Mortgage Rates and Home Prices

As we move through 2025, many homeowners and potential buyers in California are curious about the direction of interest rates under the current administration. Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials suggest that interest rates may decrease over the medium term. For instance, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson noted that rates are likely to fall gradually, emphasizing a cautious approach to policy adjustments.
However, it’s important to understand that while the Federal Reserve’s policies influence interest rates, mortgage rates are also affected by various factors, including economic conditions and inflation. As of now, the Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rate between 4.25% and 4.5%, with inflation still above the 2% target.
In the California housing market, home prices are projected to continue rising. The California Association of Realtors forecasts a 4.6% increase in the median home price, reaching $909,400 in 2025. This upward trend is attributed to a persistent housing shortage and a competitive market.
Given these dynamics, staying in contact with a trusted local mortgage broker is crucial. If interest rates decrease, opportunities for refinancing or purchasing a home at a lower payment may arise. Additionally, with rents continuing to rise, achieving homeownership becomes an even more attractive goal. However, the combination of increasing home prices and potential rate drops can lead to heightened competition in the market.
Working with a local mortgage broker can provide you with constant market updates and personalized assistance. As a dedicated mortgage broker, I strive to offer hands-on support to help you navigate these changes and make informed decisions.
In summary, while there is potential for interest rates to decrease in the near future, the California housing market remains competitive with rising home prices. Staying informed and collaborating with trusted local professionals can help you seize opportunities as they arise.




